Peramalan Jumlah Penduduk Kabupaten Semarang dengan Metode Box-Jenkins
نویسندگان
چکیده
Peramalan merupakan ilmu atau teknik untuk menduga suatu nilai pada waktu yang akan datang menggunakan referensi data di masa lalu dan saat ini. jumlah penduduk Kabupaten Semarang sangat diperlukan karena sering dijadikan sebagai dasar perencanaan maupun sasaran pembangunan datang. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah mengetahui hasil peramalan tahun 2020 – 2025 dengan metode Box-Jenkins. Data digunakan 1989 2019. tersebut dapat dimodelkan model Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Setelah dianalisis, terbaik didapatkan ARIMA(2,1,1). Hasil sampai berturut-turut sebesar 1.064.529 jiwa, 1.075.971 1.086.606 1.097.182 1.107.346 1.117.284 jiwa.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Jurnal statistika dan aplikasinya
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2620-8369']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21009/jsa.05107